When will Omikron dominate Poland? Dr Fiałek: increases will begin after January 20

Omikron is already present in 115 countries around the world. In total, more than 285 were detected. cases of infection with this variant of the coronavirus. It has already become the dominant strain of SARS-CoV-2 in many regions. In Poland, less than a month after the first case was announced, there are 244 infections with Omikron (data as of January 13). Unfortunately, this number will increase significantly soon.

1. An omicron was first detected on November 11, 2021 in Botswana
2. More than 50 mutations have been identified in the variant, making it extremely infectious and spreading at an unprecedented rate
3. A pessimistic scenario also awaits Poland, where the first infection with Omikron was detected on December 16 last year.
4. According to experts, the number of new cases will increase significantly in less than a week and a half
5. Forecasts say up to 50 thousand. infections daily
6. More information can be found on the Onet homepage

Poland will quickly “catch up” with the rest of the world

Increasing the range of Omikron in Poland is inevitable. This can be clearly seen in the statistics of the countries to which the variant detected in mid-November reached us faster than to us. In Great Britain, where it is the highest (130 cases), it already accounts for 071%. all cases of COVID-85,1 (data as of January 13). The situation is similar in the United States (100 infections, 342%), Denmark (74,4 and 19%) and Canada (033 and 81,8%). There are also countries with at least three-digit numbers of infections, where the rate is over 3 percent, Ireland, where 879 percent. infections are caused by Omikron.

In Poland, with 244 cases, this rate is 8,5 percent. According to experts, it is not a matter of weeks but days when this percentage will be similar to that in other European countries.

– All indicates that in about three weeks, the Omikron variant will be the dominant one in Poland, says the drug. Bartosz Fiałek, rheumatologist and promoter of medical knowledge about COVID-19. – This means that it will constitute more than 50 percent. all cases of COVID-19. It is possible that it will happen earlier, because after January 20, the rate of new infections may significantly increase. Certainly, however at the turn of January and February we will be dealing with the dominance of the Omikron variant – ensure.

The rest of the text is below the video.

According to the expert, such a conclusion can be drawn not only from the pace at which this variant spreads in other countries, but also from the observation of the epidemiological situation in Poland.

– I mean the scandalously poorly vaccinated Polish society and how many of us ignore the sanitary and epidemiological rules. We must remember that the result of a bad situation is not just one element, such as a low percentage of vaccinated children or failure to respect the wearing of protective masks. An airborne pathogen pandemic is an extremely dynamic phenomenon and depends on many variables. Together, they synergistically influence how bad the epidemic situation in Poland is at present – he explains.

1. Also read: Poles refuse compulsory vaccinations. It’s getting scary in these regions [MAP]

50 thousand infections per day is the most optimistic scenario

The doctor’s prognosis coincides with the predictions of other experts. According to the MOCOS Group, which analyzes the development of the COVID-19 pandemic, we can expect a wave of Omikron infections in a dozen or so days. Prof. Tyll Krüger in an interview with “Wyborcza”, published two days ago, talks about 10-14 days, which would mean that we will observe the increases in incidence due to the new variant of the coronavirus after January 20, which is exactly as the drug predicts. Bartosz Fiałek.

– The number of cases reported depends essentially on the testing options available – at the current level of testing in Poland, when about 100 thousand. tests a day – we will probably detect only 50 a day. cases. If there are more tests, they will reveal many more cases of infections because the actual number may, according to our estimates, rise to several hundred thousand a day – said the representative of MOCOS.

The professor also referred to the record number of deaths in Poland (on January 11, we crossed the “barrier” of 100 people who have died due to COVID-19 since the beginning of the pandemic). He drew attention to the fact that although Omikron actually causes the need for hospitalization less often, and thus the risk of death seems to be lower, with so many cases, more people may die than in the fourth wave.

1. Also read: COVID-19 took over 100. Poles. Where did we go wrong?

The editorial board recommends:

1. Who is most resistant to an Omicron infection? Interesting research results
2. How long does the coronavirus live in the air? The first such study and important conclusions
3. What are the symptoms of Omicron? How do you know when it is wrong? The doctor explains
4. When will an effective Omikron vaccine be developed? Pfizer is talking about March

The content of the medTvoiLokony website is intended to improve, not replace, the contact between the Website User and their doctor. The website is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before following the specialist knowledge, in particular medical advice, contained on our Website, you must consult a doctor. The Administrator does not bear any consequences resulting from the use of information contained on the Website. Do you need a medical consultation or an e-prescription? Go to halodoctor.pl where you can get online help – quickly, safely and without leaving home.