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The predictions of scientists from the University of Warsaw regarding the fourth wave of the coronavirus epidemic are not optimistic. As many as 8 million Poles are susceptible to falling ill, so during the fall wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, up to 55 may die. people – admitted in an interview with RMF FM Dr. Franciszek Rakowski from the Interdisciplinary Center for Mathematical and Computational Modeling (ICM) of the University of Warsaw.
- A team of scientists from the University of Warsaw has published the latest forecast regarding the development of the epidemic in Poland
- There are still many people who are susceptible to contracting COVID-19
- During the fourth wave, up to 55 may die. people – experts forecast
- Experts believe the fourth wave of the epidemic could last until January 2022.
- You can find more such stories on the TvoiLokony home page
In the prognosis of the development of the coronavirus in Poland, scientists from the University of Warsaw took into account the degree of public vaccination and immunization, i.e. immunity after disease. From these data, they concluded that about 8 million people are susceptible to contracting COVID-19 disease, and the mortality potential is between 35. and 55 thousand people.
The fourth wave of COVID-19 in Poland. Forecasts. Pessimistic and optimistic variant
Dr. Franciszek Rakowski, head of the ICM team, forecasts that in the most pessimistic variant every day we can expect about 50 thousand. infections, while hospitals should not be more than 22 at the same time people.
- “Silent dying in hospitals” in the fall. Dr. Grzesiowski warns against the “invisible enemy”
Dr. Rakowski also added that the peak of the fourth wave will most likely take place in mid-November. – At the end of September, we will know if this growth is stronger or weaker. A more optimistic variant of the forecast assumes that the fourth wave will be spread over time. In January and February we will have a maximum of 5-6 thousand. infected people – said Dr. Rakowski in an interview with RMF FM.
How long can the fourth wave of COVID-19 in Poland last?
Experts predict that the fourth wave of the pandemic could last until January 2022 and that it should be the last wave. – We will reach the threshold of 88 percent. immunity and the disease will become like flu – said Dr. Rakowski.
The specialist also added that, according to his team, the authorities will not decide to introduce any radical restrictions, i.e. schools and workplaces will remain fully open.
Important information:
- How to protect children returning to school? Pediatrician’s advice
- The role of masks is growing. Infector: the situation has changed. What does it mean?
Do you want to test your COVID-19 immunity after vaccination? Have you been infected and want to check your antibody levels? See the COVID-19 immunity test package, which you will perform at Diagnostics network points.
See also:
- How will the coronavirus develop? Scientists presented the scenarios
- What happened a year ago when the children returned to school? What could happen now? Forecasts
- President: I am opposed to compulsory vaccinations. Doctor: harmful and dangerous
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