And this is not July, as previously said.
The number of cases in Russia is growing every day, and the controversy surrounding vaccination is getting hotter. Recently, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said that the peak incidence of COVID-19 will be in July, but mathematicians from the St. Petersburg Polytechnic University fundamentally disagree with the politician’s words.
Researchers managed to create a mathematical model from systems of differential equations with variable coefficients. It makes it possible to plot nine curves of the spread of coronavirus, with the help of which it was possible to calculate not only the number of cases, but also the day of the peak.
Development Manager Alexei Borovkov told the site ““That if the scenario is implemented, the number of patients with COVID-19 will be approximately 225 thousand people, while the approximate date of the third wave is September 19.
Earlier, another developer of the mathematical model, Viktor Zakharov, said to stabilize the situation with covid in Russia (at the level of no more than 22,5 thousand cases per day) is possible in the coming days. In this case, the pandemic may decline by about mid-July.
The other day, during a direct line with Vladimir Putin, the president told whether the Russians were waiting for a new lockdown, and also shared his condition after vaccination.