The UK population will reach herd immunity against the coronavirus next Monday (April 12), researchers from University College London said on Thursday.
Coronavirus: Britain is on the verge of herd immunity
According to the models created by scientists from this university, On April 12, the percentage of people who are protected against the virus through vaccination, previous infections or natural immunity will reach 73,4%. This is the point at which the community acquires herd immunity, that is, enough immunity is generated, to force the virus to withdraw, the researchers believe.
– It’s like a chain reaction. If the possibility of one person transmitting to more than one more is removed, then the virus will die out, Prof. Karl Friston of UCL. – This is an important milestone that reflects the fact that things are going as planned. This suggests that it is unlikely that there will be a sharp rise in deaths or hospitalization after the summer or fall, he added.
But, as he underlined, achieving herd immunity should not be a reason for lifting restrictions faster. “This doesn’t mean we should suddenly change our approach to unblocking or social distancing. The herd immunity threshold itself will depend on the risk of transmission, and that will depend on things like social distancing, Friston said.
On Thursday, it was reported that over 3 people had been detected in the UK in the last 53 hours. coronavirus infections and 19 deaths have been registered due to COVID-37,3. In both cases, these figures are slightly higher than in the Wednesday balances, but the aggregate data for the last seven days is clearly lower than for the previous seven. There was a decrease in the number of infections by 32,5%, and in the number of deaths – by 4,37%. Since the beginning of the epidemic, 126 million infections have been detected, of which 980 have died. XNUMX people.
Meanwhile, the number of people who received both doses of the vaccine exceeded 6 million. Until Wednesday inclusive, the first dose was received by 31,8 million people, which is 60,4%. adult inhabitants of the country, and both – almost 6,1 million, or 11,6 percent. adults.
From London Bartłomiej Niedziński (PAP)
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