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Health Minister Adam Niedzielski did not rule out the introduction of new restrictions. Everything will depend on the number of infections, as well as the number of people staying in hospitals. Hospitalizations at the level of 20 thousand. they will urge the government to take more radical action. Unfortunately, it looks to be inevitable.
- On January 3rd, for the third day in a row, we see an increase (week to week) in infections after earlier declines. The greater number of infections is the result of meetings during the holidays
- Between the New Year and the Epiphany we will see the first increases related to holidays – announced prof. Andrzej Fal
- On Monday, for the first time in a week, the number of occupied covid beds also increased, 19 are currently hospitalized. 493 people
- You have to be prepared that this increase is not a one-off
- More information can be found on the Onet homepage
Adam Niedzielski: alarming increases in infections
On Monday, January 3, the Ministry of Health informed about 6. 422 new COVID-19 infections. This is less than the last few days, but more than last Monday, December 27. Then there were 5 thousand. 29 cases. This means that it was now 25 percent. more new cases. This is the third day in a row when the number of new cases is greater than seven days earlier.
– It is very worrying that this is the third day in a row that we have gains again, because so far we have recorded only declines. These last three days are very worrying – said Adam Niedzielski, Minister of Health in RMF FM on Monday.
This was also noticed on Twitter by Michał Rogalski, author of the “COVID-19 in Poland” database and pandemic analyst.
«After several weeks of decreases in the number of detected cases, today we have the t / t increase (+28%) for the third time in a row. So far this is just an equalization after the holiday reduced testing »- he wrote.
– If we see this week that we have a continuation of the upward trend in infections with 20 beds full, we will make further aggravating decisions. We can expect next decisions on Wednesday or Friday – added Niedzielski.
The deputy minister explained that the new restrictions may mean, inter alia, closing of shopping malls.
– The data we are talking about are not yet the effect of New Year’s Eve or Christmas. I am looking at when Omikron will appear as the dominant mutation – said the minister. – I hope that these three days are not the beginning of the Omicron, because we have a high level of infections. The number of occupied beds is striking, i.e. approx. 20. If we start another wave in these conditions, it is a catastrophic scenario – emphasized the head of the Ministry of Health.
Prof. Fal: increases after the new year
According to the latest data of the Ministry of Health, there are currently 19 thousand people in hospitals. 493 people suffering from coronavirus. This is the fourth day in a row when this number is below 20, but at the same time the first day of growth after seven consecutive days of decline. On December 28, 21 were seized. 283 covid beds.
It happened what the specialists had predicted. Prof. Andrzej Fal, head of the Department of Allergology, Lung Diseases and Internal Diseases at the hospital of the Ministry of Interior and Administration, president of the Polish Society of Public Health, said at the end of December that We will see the first spikes in infections – following Christmas meetings – between New Years and Epiphany.
The rest of the article under the video.
– We know that in the case of the Delta variant, it takes about five days from the time of infection to the appearance of symptoms. However, from what we know about the Omicron, incubation is shorter, from one to three days from exposure to the virus. If we came back from Christmas, say Monday, let’s give the virus this longer time, three to five days, because we have a mixture of Delta and Omicron around us. We can shoot that between the New Year and Epiphany we will see the first increases related to holidays. I’m not saying that it will be the fifth wave right away, but the increase will certainly be noticeable – he explained.
- Delmicron – what are the risks of combining Delta and Omicron?
The surge in infections will be followed by a wave of hospitalizations and deaths. – The pandemic death curve, at least to date, lags the disease curve by 10-14 days – explained prof. Halyard.
This is just the beginning of the increases
The Omikron variant, extremely contagious and causing very high waves of COVID-19 infections in Western Europe (over 200 cases a day in France) and the United States (572 new infections on December 30), is still not so widespread in Poland.
According to the GISAID database, 52 cases of the new variant have been detected in our country so far, which is responsible for 1,6 percent. new infections.
– It may not seem like much, but its infectivity and how quickly it is spreading in Western Europe should be worrying us. And it awakens, because we already have prepared plans for the possible appearance of the fifth wave – says Deputy Health Minister Waldemar Kraska in Polish Radio. – Everything indicates that we are going to transition from wave XNUMX to wave XNUMX quite smoothly – added the deputy minister.
When will Omikron flood us?
However, at the end of December, the Institute of Human Genetics of the Polish Academy of Sciences in Poznań informed that in this voivodship already 6 percent. coronavirus cases are Omikron.
So it looks like the inevitable lies ahead. The only question is when the new variant will “make itself at home” with us for good.
- Gloomy forecasts for 2022. Up to 3 billion infections with Omikron
– The period of Omicron’s spread may be shifted by about two weeks in relation to the country from which we come to Poland, but in general it will be almost synchronous. All this shows that we are really in a difficult moment – said Dr. Aneta Afelt from the COVID-19 Team at the President of the Polish Academy of Sciences.
– Last year, three weeks after Christmas, we had a small mountain of infections, now it can be a big mountain. Let’s also not forget that the spring wave was the aftermath of Christmas meetings at the table. This year it may be the same – added Afelt.
Even 80 thousand hospitalization per day?
A few days ago, Dziennik Gazeta Prawna wrote about the forecasts prepared for the Polish government by scientists from the University of Warsaw and Wrocław University of Technology.
The fifth wave of the pandemic, caused by the Omikron variant, could be extremely dangerous, and the death toll of the coronavirus will skyrocket, according to the report.
- These are the first symptoms of Omikron infection [LIST]
According to the most pessimistic scenario, in March the number of people requiring hospitalization in Poland may reach as much as 80. people, and the number of deaths exceeded 2 thousand. daily. The more optimistic variant says about half a thousand deaths a day and 30 thousand deaths a day. hospitalization in the fifth wave.
– They’re just models. We do not know how they will develop or how dangerous Omikron will be – commented this report by an employee of the Ministry of Health in an interview with «DGP».
Do you want to test your COVID-19 immunity after vaccination? Have you been infected and want to check your antibody levels? See the COVID-19 immunity test package, which you will perform at Diagnostics network points.
Also read:
- How many NOPs have been recorded so far?
- The five most common symptoms of Omikron infection [LIST]
- What medications are better not to take before and after vaccination, and why?
- A doctor from a covid hospital talks about the most difficult cases. “Young, unvaccinated are dying”
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