There have been over 27 million cases of the coronavirus in India to date. Means India is at the epicenter of the pandemic. The second wave seems to be calming down, but not nationwide, the BBC reports.
False sense of security
The health service was overwhelmed by the second wave of the pandemic, hospitals were left without essential drugs and oxygen. However, the increase in COVID-19 patients appears to be slower, with fewer than 200 people reported on Monday. cases of infections, this is the lowest figure since April 14.
India’s second wave is calming down, experts say. However, not all states. In Maharashtra, Delhi and Chhattisgarh, indeed the numbers are getting lower. In Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal, however, the situation is getting worse.
– This wave is very uneven. There are several states in India that are yet to reach the highest levels of disease, says Dr. John Rijo M John, health economist. At the same time, there are fewer and fewer cases in the largest cities.
- It is the worst in these countries. The number of sick people is increasing faster than in India
This makes it very difficult to judge what the future of the pandemic situation in India is. And the decline in cases in parts of the country could give people a false sense of security when their states are about to enter the tipping point, notes Bhramar Mukherjee, biostatistician at the University of Michigan.
When will the second wave in India end?
During the first wave, the decline in cases was very slow. A clear change was noticed only in September last year, this trend continued until mid-February.
During the second wave, this decline seems to be faster, and it is unclear why. It’s just that the majority of India’s population has been exposed to the virus, experts say. This, however, is also not confirmed, after all, the second wave was dominated by mutations of the virus to which the convalescents do not need to be immune.
- Niedzielski: we must be ready that new mutations of the virus will appear
India is the third country in the world with the highest number of COVID-19 deaths, behind Brazil and the United States. The country’s authorities will have to develop a more effective plan to combat the pandemic.
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