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Almost 40 COVID-19 victims from March 2020, almost 10 deaths from the beginning of 2021 – these are data for Poland. And although the daily number of infections in our country is much lower than in France, we still have a serious problem with high mortality. Why is it like that?

  1. The latest data indicate that we have already recorded over 1,5 million COVID-19 infections in Poland. Since the start of the pandemic, there have been 39 132 deaths
  2. Even though the daily numbers in Poland are lower than in other countries, we note a high mortality rate among coronavirus patients, e.g. in relation to France
  3. Prof. Flisiak explains why such a high number of deaths from COVID-19 in Poland comes from
  4. You can find more such information on the TvoiLokony home page

Coronavirus in Poland. Fewer infections, then many deaths

According to the data of the Ministry of Health on February 8, 2021, there were 2 people in Poland. 431 new cases of COVID-19 and 45 people have died. Last Friday we had 6 thousand. 53 new cases, 67 deaths from coronavirus and 301 deaths among patients with comorbidities. Similar figures also apply to Thursday, February 4 (6 496 infections, 84 deaths from COVID-19, 360 deaths with comorbidities). And although the daily number of infections seems to be decreasing, the mortality rate is worrying.

COVID-19 deaths in Poland / Source: worldometers.info

Especially when we look at the situation in other countries. France now has a serious pandemic problem – 19 715 new cases of confirmed coronavirus, 279 088 patients within 14 days (January 25 to February 7). And only 171 new deaths.

Daily number of coronavirus infections in France / source: worldometers.info

If we look at the percentage data, they show that in Poland last week on average 1,1 percent. people infected with COVID-19 died. In France, despite more than three times the number of infections, deaths accounted for about 0,8%.

Daily COVID-19 deaths in France / Source: worldometers.info

Also, the percentage data from the beginning of the pandemic in both countries show differences to the disadvantage of Poland. In France, the mortality rate is about 2,36%, while in Poland it reaches 2,5%.

Why are more patients dying of COVID-19 in Poland?

We asked the virologist, prof. Robert Flisiak from the Polish Epidemiological Society. It turns out that the numbers do not necessarily indicate that France is coping better with the situation.

– There may be several reasons, but the most important one is simply arithmetic – explains prof. Flisiak for MedTvoiLokony. – If we have worse case detection, the value of the divisor is smaller, and the quotient resulting from the division is relatively larger. The second reason is that we should look not at a given point in time, but at a time interval (preferably the entire epidemic). In different phases of the epidemic, and this was different in Poland and France, the mortality rate may be different. This may be a consequence of, for example, overloading hospitals in the periods of the highest intensity of disease. In addition, over time, the population of vulnerable people – with life threatening – will decrease.

Prof. Flisiak also draws attention to the fact that until October the mortality in Poland was relatively low, in contrast to France, which has had two high death waves behind it. – I said it once, stating that those who were supposed to die had already died and I was faced with a terrible hate, so I wish that this was well understood. This is a population predisposed to a life-threatening course of the disease, elderly people and people with certain diseases that should be vaccinated as soon as possible.

Almost a year has passed. What stage of the pandemic are we at?

A lot has changed since March 2020, when the first case was confirmed in Poland. We have behind the lockdown, loosening the restrictions, and then further restrictions introduced by the government in November and December 2020. In the meantime, our country has started the COVID-19 vaccination program, and the daily number of infections has begun to decline. Does this mean that we are heading to the end of the pandemic? Can it be assumed that the curve finally flattens out?

– We are in a downward trend, but it has stopped – says prof. Flisiak. This retention is a result of the toddlers loosening up and going to school. At the beginning of January it was the effect of holidays, now it is the effect of school. May further flattening continue after further loosening. I hope there will be no global increases. And if there are increases, they will be regional, in those provinces where the level of immunity is lower. There are voivodships where the level of immunization is high and there is a clear downward trend in the number of identified infections, unfortunately other regions inhibit this trend nationwide.

The number of immunized people is also growing in Poland

– We have about 14 million people immunized through contact with the virus, an additional million immunized thanks to vaccination and another half a million people who have probably got vaccinated, although they were immunized before, usually without knowing it. I hope that about 15 million people are immunized in Poland. Let me be right – adds prof. Flisiak.

Also read:

  1. How many vaccinations against COVID-19 have been taken in Poland?
  2. How many tests for COVID-19 have we done in the last XNUMX hours?
  3. Coronavirus in Poland – statistics for voivodships
  4. Data on the mortality of patients with COVID-19 in Poland. “False sense of security”
  5. Prof. Simon: a sudden loosening of the restrictions will lead to a complete disaster

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