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The fourth wave of the epidemic is at its peak. Experts have calculated that it will fall on the first Saturday in December. Hospitals will feel it two weeks later. The daily number of COVID-19 cases may increase up to 35. cases.
The mathematical modeling of pandemic forecasts is carried out by the Modeling Coronavirus Spread (MOCOS) group headed by Prof. Tyll Krüger from the Wrocław University of Technology. The findings of the researchers show that the peak of the disease will occur in the next week. Then you can also expect a total of 171 thousand. falling ill with COVID-19. On average, it is 24 thousand. cases per day.
The rest of the article under the video.
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– Remember that descending from the top of the wave is not immediate. We will see declining infection statistics, but high deaths in December and the first half of January. We forecast a return to the holiday level, i.e. before the wave, in mid-March 2022. Then the fourth wave will expire – says Interia, Dr. Piotr Szymański.
These bills are another wake-up call for hospitals. If the forecasts are correct, it will mean in practice that 37-48 people will be seized at the peak of the pandemic. covid beds.
See also: Queues for COVID-19 tests are increasing. Collection points are crowded again. How to sign up?
In mid-November, the Minister of Health, Adam Niedzielski, asked by PAP about the forecast peak of the fourth wave, replied that there were two scenarios. – One referring to the analogy of the second wave and the apogee in two weeks. The second scenario postpones the peak a bit in time to the first half of December. The peak in the first scenario is to be 25-30, and in the second variant, 35-40. infections. We are expanding the infrastructure in accordance with the pessimistic scenario, although it is less realistic, argued the minister at the time.
Check it out: Dr Strawberry infected with COVID-19. A famous pediatrician tells how to deal with the virus in the family
You can buy a set of FFP2 filtering masks at an attractive price at medonetmarket.pl
According to official statistics, over 3,3 million cases of COVID-19 have been recorded so far in Poland. Over 82 have died from the coronavirus people. So far, over 40,8 million doses of the vaccine have been administered in the country, which translates into 53,5 percent. the fully vaccinated population.
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